Everything published so far
In the order it is best read. The fiction first, because the argument is easier to feel than to state.
Start here
The recovered working notes of a cartographer at an institute that does not exist yet, written across 2036. A bus driver in Ghent spends thirty-one years on a theory nobody reads, and the instrument that could have seen him arrives too late. It is fiction in one sense only: the dates.
The argument itself, in eight sections and an addendum: why psychology is a pre-periodic science, how a taxonomy with predictive empty slots could be built, the falsifiable frontier of the "superhuman," the four dangers of the legible human, and the five conditions that would turn the hypothesis into a program. Registered with a DOI, CC BY 4.0.
The first candidate taken seriously: timing as perception rather than luck. What it looks like in a life, why intelligence, openness, survivorship bias and superforecasting each fail to explain it, and three ways it could actually be measured. It has cleared none of the four thresholds yet, which is the honest state of every entry on the list.
The whole argument again in ten illustrated spreads, written to be read aloud to a child and to survive an adult listening in. Nothing load-bearing has been left out, including the sorting machine and the three promises.
The founding essay in Dutch, the language it was first thought in. Published here when the page is ready.
Next
Why the ability to leave a problem unresolved for twenty years may be the best-kept predictor of fundamental breakthroughs, and why "tolerance of ambiguity" measures something shallower. Subscribers get it first.